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Red202
29468.0
167886.8
427079.4
Blue226
945077.5
594084.1
546875.8
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions253251220240260280202226

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+35
Teleop+12
Endgame+22
Fouls+24
AutonomousBlue +35
3Leave0
4Coral scored#12
20Coral points58
23Total auto58
TeleoperatedRed +23
33Coral scored#28
117Coral points102
5Processor algae#3
4Net algae#5
30Processor points18
16Net points20
46Algae points38
163Total teleop140
Reef
14L4#13
12L3#10
8L2#10
3L1 · trough#7
46Game pieces#48
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Penalties & totalBlue +24
0Foul points2
202Total score226

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
86.80.8
87.686.8
Auto24.2
Teleop54.1
End8.5
red by 2.6
5940
#11
84.10.4
85.084.6
Auto23.3
Teleop52.1
End8.7
Second
4270
#24
79.40.8
80.179.4
Auto15.9
Teleop54.7
End8.8
red by 1.9
77.50.4
78.478.0
Auto17.6
Teleop48.4
End11.5
Third
294
#15
68.00.8
68.868.0
Auto14.9
Teleop47.1
End6.1
blue by 7.7
5468
#25
75.80.4
76.676.3
Auto17.6
Teleop47.9
End10.3