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Red234
25493.8
291099.9
803361.0
Blue196
603657.0
449980.6
949677.0
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions278226100150200250300350234196

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+5
+36Teleop
+38Endgame
+38Fouls
AutonomousBlue +5
9Leave3
8Coral scored#10
40Coral points51
49Total auto54
TeleoperatedRed +41
30Coral scored#22
109Coral points80
3Processor algae#3
8Net algae#5
18Processor points18
32Net points20
50Algae points38
159Total teleop118
Reef
11L4#11
11L3#9
9L2#8
7L1 · trough#4
49Game pieces#40
BargeRed +2
26Cage & park24
26Total endgame24
Penalties & totalRed +38
0Foul points0
234Total score196

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
99.90.4
99.298.8
Auto27.8
Teleop61.9
End10.2
red by 19.3
80.60.4
80.580.0
Auto15.3
Teleop53.7
End11.5
Second
254
#1
93.80.4
93.192.7
Auto22.9
Teleop61.9
End9.0
red by 16.9
9496
#20
77.00.4
76.876.4
Auto18.3
Teleop51.6
End7.1
Third
8033
#37
61.00.4
61.461.0
Auto16.2
Teleop36.8
End8.0
red by 3.9
6036
#34
57.00.4
57.457.0
Auto13.2
Teleop40.0
End3.8