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Red119
618811.2
425337.5
546849.4
Blue136
312855.1
442132.7
755130.5
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7992050150119136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+3Teleop
Endgame+17
Fouls+17
AutonomousRed +18
3Leave0
5Coral scored#2
24Coral points9
27Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +15
15Coral scored#19
54Coral points69
1Processor algae#3
7Net algae#4
6Processor points18
28Net points16
34Algae points34
88Total teleop103
Reef
5L4#8
7L3#6
3L2#4
5L1 · trough#3
28Game pieces#28
BargeBlue +20
4Cage & park24
4Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +17
0Foul points0
119Total score136

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.44.6
27.231.8
Auto10.0
Teleop31.4
End7.9
blue by 5.7
55.15.1
33.638.7
Auto8.4
Teleop36.4
End10.2
Second
4253
#13
37.54.6
30.635.1
Auto9.1
Teleop23.7
End4.7
red by 4.8
4421
#12
32.75.1
28.033.1
Auto5.6
Teleop24.2
End3.0
Third
6188
#32
11.24.6
14.218.7
Auto1.4
Teleop8.5
End1.3
blue by 19.3
7551
#11
30.55.1
19.324.4
Auto5.5
Teleop17.9
End7.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
54%Auto oddsEarned50%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
58%Barge oddsMissed52%Barge oddsEarned