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Red115
603639.0
929215.1
1038411.9
Blue66
243845.7
1052714.5
779616.2
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions866805010015011566

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+39Teleop
+39Endgame
+49Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
9Leave6
4Coral scored#3
21Coral points13
30Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +28
12Coral scored#10
43Coral points35
2Processor algae#0
4Net algae#2
12Processor points0
16Net points8
28Algae points8
71Total teleop43
Reef
6L4#5
4L3#3
2L2#3
4L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#15
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +49
10Foul points0
115Total score66

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.01.7
40.542.2
Auto10.1
Teleop26.1
End2.8
blue by 6.6
2438
#21
45.71.3
30.529.3
Auto9.4
Teleop33.3
End3.0
Second
9292
#20
15.11.7
16.518.1
Auto4.6
Teleop8.4
End2.1
blue by 1.1
7796
#30
16.21.3
14.112.8
Auto5.7
Teleop9.3
End1.2
Third
11.91.7
18.820.5
Auto3.2
Teleop6.6
End2.1
blue by 2.6
14.51.3
19.117.8
Auto4.2
Teleop7.5
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
55%Auto oddsEarned39%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
48%Barge oddsMissed43%Barge oddsMissed