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Red138
427058.4
767310.4
35954.2
Blue116
84630.1
432722.8
551647.0
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10979050150200138116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+2
+22Endgame
+22Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave6
5Coral scored#3
23Coral points14
23Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +5
16Coral scored#19
57Coral points70
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#3
12Processor points12
20Net points12
32Algae points24
89Total teleop94
Reef
11L4#10
4L3#7
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
28Game pieces#27
BargeRed +24
26Cage & park2
26Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +22
0Foul points0
138Total score116

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.43.9
34.838.6
Auto10.7
Teleop39.9
End7.9
red by 11.4
47.04.1
20.925.1
Auto15.7
Teleop31.3
End0.0
Second
359
#1
54.23.9
42.746.6
Auto12.8
Teleop33.4
End7.9
red by 24.1
846
#36
30.14.1
28.032.1
Auto3.3
Teleop25.8
End1.0
Third
7673
#35
10.43.9
16.920.8
Auto2.8
Teleop4.4
End3.2
blue by 12.4
4327
#48
22.84.1
23.928.1
Auto3.0
Teleop18.0
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
59%Auto oddsEarned44%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
48%Barge oddsEarned48%Barge oddsMissed