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Red129
546876.2
634336.6
154034.6
Blue116
646527.3
669643.7
469228.1
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18398050150200250300129116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+7
+15Endgame
+13Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave3
5Coral scored#4
27Coral points20
30Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +14
13Coral scored#18
45Coral points63
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#3
12Processor points12
16Net points12
28Algae points24
73Total teleop87
Reef
8L4#9
3L3#6
4L2#5
3L1 · trough#2
24Game pieces#27
BargeRed +22
26Cage & park4
26Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +13
0Foul points2
129Total score116

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
76.21.7
79.577.9
Auto18.8
Teleop45.2
End12.2
red by 32.5
43.71.1
41.242.3
Auto9.1
Teleop34.9
End-0.3
Second
6343
#20
36.61.7
38.336.6
Auto7.6
Teleop26.2
End2.7
red by 8.5
4692
#21
28.11.1
30.231.2
Auto7.3
Teleop20.1
End0.7
Third
1540
#14
34.61.7
36.134.4
Auto4.2
Teleop24.7
End5.7
red by 7.3
6465
#23
27.31.1
26.227.3
Auto2.3
Teleop22.0
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned66%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
23%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
94%Barge oddsEarned10%Barge oddsMissed