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Red159
312855.1
546849.4
944914.1
Blue97
755130.5
486218.9
462731.5
93%Model gave it7%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions137101608012016018015997

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+12Auto
+66Teleop
+66Endgame
+62Fouls
AutonomousRed +12
6Leave9
5Coral scored#2
24Coral points9
30Total auto18
TeleoperatedRed +54
25Coral scored#10
91Coral points37
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#4
6Processor points6
16Net points16
22Algae points22
113Total teleop59
Reef
10L4#5
11L3#4
6L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
35Game pieces#17
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +62
2Foul points6
159Total score97

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.11.0
51.852.8
Auto8.4
Teleop36.4
End10.2
red by 23.5
4627
#19
31.50.3
32.532.2
Auto6.9
Teleop22.0
End2.6
Second
49.41.0
46.147.1
Auto10.0
Teleop31.4
End7.9
red by 18.9
7551
#11
30.50.3
31.531.2
Auto5.5
Teleop17.9
End7.2
Third
9449
#27
14.11.0
10.711.6
Auto4.1
Teleop8.6
End1.4
blue by 4.8
4862
#42
18.90.3
19.919.6
Auto4.6
Teleop13.8
End0.4