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Red133
399041.0
728723.8
551647.0
Blue105
425337.5
432722.8
636427.3
91%Model gave it9%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12187406080100140160180133105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+25Auto
+14Teleop
+26Endgame
+28Fouls
AutonomousRed +25
0Leave9
7Coral scored#1
37Coral points3
37Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +11
13Coral scored#17
46Coral points61
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
64Total teleop75
Reef
9L4#8
4L3#3
5L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
24Game pieces#21
BargeRed +12
24Cage & park12
24Total endgame12
Penalties & totalRed +28
8Foul points6
133Total score105

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.00.3
46.446.7
Auto15.7
Teleop31.3
End0.0
red by 9.5
4253
#13
37.50.2
36.636.8
Auto9.1
Teleop23.7
End4.7
Second
41.00.3
40.340.7
Auto9.2
Teleop26.2
End5.6
red by 13.7
6364
#10
27.30.2
26.326.5
Auto5.8
Teleop18.3
End3.3
Third
7287
#17
23.80.3
23.924.2
Auto5.3
Teleop15.0
End3.5
red by 1.0
4327
#48
22.80.2
21.922.1
Auto3.0
Teleop18.0
End1.8