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Red116
406020.4
95548.2
546859.2
Blue125
299033.4
293059.0
214744.7
23%Model gave it77%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions142158100120180200116125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
Teleop+5
Endgame+15
Fouls+9
AutonomousRed +18
9Leave9
6Coral scored#3
31Coral points13
40Total auto22
TeleoperatedBlue +23
12Coral scored#15
44Coral points53
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#3
6Processor points12
4Net points12
10Algae points24
54Total teleop77
Reef
6L4#6
7L3#6
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
20Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +9
6Foul points0
116Total score125

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.21.3
58.757.4
Auto15.3
Teleop35.0
End8.9
red by 0.2
59.00.9
58.357.4
Auto17.6
Teleop31.4
End10.0
Second
955
#10
48.21.3
49.348.0
Auto14.9
Teleop30.8
End2.5
red by 3.5
2147
#19
44.70.9
44.443.5
Auto5.9
Teleop33.6
End5.2
Third
4060
#24
20.41.3
21.720.4
Auto5.6
Teleop11.7
End3.1
blue by 13.0
2990
#16
33.40.9
35.334.4
Auto3.3
Teleop23.4
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned81%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
21%Coral oddsMissed17%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
90%Barge oddsEarned94%Barge oddsEarned