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Red141
634342.0
469226.8
412521.6
Blue63
529516.5
371211.9
968019.8
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10656020408012014016014163

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+78Teleop
+80Endgame
+78Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave6
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points3
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +71
20Coral scored#10
73Coral points36
4Processor algae#1
6Net algae#2
24Processor points6
24Net points8
48Algae points14
121Total teleop50
Reef
10L4#3
4L3#4
5L2#3
3L1 · trough#1
32Game pieces#14
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +78
0Foul points2
141Total score63

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6343
#13
42.02.4
40.743.1
Auto7.7
Teleop33.1
End1.2
red by 22.2
9680
#23
19.80.8
20.719.8
Auto4.7
Teleop12.6
End2.5
Second
4692
#30
26.82.4
23.225.6
Auto2.6
Teleop22.6
End1.5
red by 10.3
5295
#20
16.50.9
17.416.5
Auto1.8
Teleop12.9
End1.8
Third
4125
#28
21.62.4
19.021.5
Auto4.0
Teleop16.9
End0.6
red by 9.7
3712
#32
11.90.8
12.711.9
Auto2.0
Teleop8.8
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
44%Auto oddsEarned50%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
17%Barge oddsMissed49%Barge oddsMissed