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Red160
293059.0
412521.6
945065.6
Blue87
299033.4
634342.0
646535.2
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16412410015020016087

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+32Auto
+57Teleop
+67Endgame
+73Fouls
AutonomousRed +32
0Leave3
9Coral scored#2
44Coral points9
44Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +25
20Coral scored#14
72Coral points51
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
90Total teleop65
Reef
10L4#6
10L3#4
6L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
33Game pieces#19
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +73
12Foul points6
160Total score87

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.60.1
64.064.1
Auto17.7
Teleop38.0
End9.8
red by 23.5
6343
#13
42.00.7
43.142.3
Auto7.7
Teleop33.1
End1.2
Second
59.00.1
57.457.5
Auto17.6
Teleop31.4
End10.0
red by 23.7
6465
#15
35.20.7
36.335.5
Auto5.2
Teleop26.5
End3.6
Third
4125
#28
21.60.1
21.521.6
Auto4.0
Teleop16.9
End0.6
blue by 11.8
2990
#16
33.40.7
34.433.7
Auto3.3
Teleop23.4
End6.8