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Red109
363656.3
943031.4
184418.3
Blue153
448838.0
546870.6
273327.4
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions95124406080140160180109153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+15
Teleop+32
Endgame+44
Fouls+44
AutonomousBlue +15
6Leave3
3Coral scored#6
13Coral points31
19Total auto34
TeleoperatedBlue +17
16Coral scored#20
58Coral points73
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
6Processor points12
12Net points8
18Algae points20
76Total teleop93
Reef
7L4#10
6L3#7
4L2#5
2L1 · trough#4
23Game pieces#30
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +44
0Foul points0
109Total score153

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.30.8
58.659.4
Auto10.7
Teleop43.6
End2.0
blue by 14.3
70.62.2
63.866.0
Auto18.0
Teleop43.6
End9.0
Second
9430
#15
31.40.8
21.222.0
Auto5.9
Teleop20.8
End4.6
blue by 6.7
38.02.2
34.236.4
Auto7.8
Teleop24.7
End5.6
Third
1844
#23
18.30.8
13.814.7
Auto5.1
Teleop9.7
End3.4
blue by 9.1
2733
#33
27.42.2
19.021.2
Auto4.4
Teleop21.7
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
69%Auto oddsEarned82%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed16%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsEarned81%Barge oddsEarned