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Red185
281151.9
404344.2
142550.7
Blue104
466223.9
956724.9
469232.0
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1517950100200250185104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+47Teleop
+81Endgame
+81Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
0Leave9
6Coral scored#2
30Coral points10
30Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +36
21Coral scored#16
77Coral points57
3Processor algae#3
6Net algae#2
18Processor points18
24Net points8
42Algae points26
119Total teleop83
Reef
13L4#6
6L3#5
4L2#3
4L1 · trough#4
36Game pieces#23
BargeRed +34
36Cage & park2
36Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +81
0Foul points0
185Total score104

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.92.7
48.451.1
Auto11.2
Teleop32.1
End8.7
red by 19.9
4692
#24
32.00.9
31.432.2
Auto6.3
Teleop25.2
End0.6
Second
50.72.7
37.239.9
Auto16.0
Teleop27.7
End7.0
red by 25.8
9567
#13
24.90.9
20.321.2
Auto6.0
Teleop14.1
End4.8
Third
4043
#30
44.22.7
47.149.9
Auto7.7
Teleop32.1
End4.4
red by 20.3
4662
#20
23.90.9
28.129.0
Auto5.0
Teleop16.3
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsEarned81%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
30%Coral oddsEarned3%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
92%Barge oddsEarned44%Barge oddsMissed