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Red68
281154.0
154034.6
448827.8
Blue136
669643.7
546876.2
252125.9
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1431625010020025068136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+8
Teleop+56
Endgame+68
Fouls+68
AutonomousBlue +8
0Leave0
4Coral scored#6
22Coral points30
22Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +48
6Coral scored#16
22Coral points58
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#5
12Processor points12
8Net points20
20Algae points32
42Total teleop90
Reef
5L4#10
2L3#5
2L2#4
1L1 · trough#3
14Game pieces#29
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +68
0Foul points0
68Total score136

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2811
#10
54.04.1
55.251.1
Auto11.2
Teleop35.7
End7.0
blue by 22.2
76.20.6
75.474.9
Auto18.8
Teleop45.2
End12.2
Second
1540
#14
34.64.1
41.036.9
Auto4.2
Teleop24.7
End5.7
blue by 9.1
43.70.6
39.038.5
Auto9.1
Teleop34.9
End-0.3
Third
4488
#11
27.84.1
33.129.0
Auto7.1
Teleop18.2
End2.5
red by 1.9
25.90.6
30.029.4
Auto9.9
Teleop12.7
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
17%Coral oddsMissed28%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
93%Barge oddsMissed56%Barge oddsEarned