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Red94
363655.3
646527.3
252125.9
Blue233
546876.2
945073.2
999427.6
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10918805015025030094233

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+24
Teleop+107
Endgame+139
Fouls+139
AutonomousBlue +24
9Leave9
3Coral scored#8
14Coral points38
23Total auto47
TeleoperatedBlue +83
15Coral scored#23
53Coral points84
1Processor algae#5
2Net algae#9
6Processor points30
8Net points36
14Algae points66
67Total teleop150
Reef
7L4#11
6L3#6
2L2#6
3L1 · trough#8
21Game pieces#45
BargeBlue +32
4Cage & park36
4Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +139
0Foul points0
94Total score233

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3636
#13
55.31.8
52.450.6
Auto12.7
Teleop42.5
End0.0
blue by 20.9
76.24.7
74.979.5
Auto18.8
Teleop45.2
End12.2
Second
6465
#23
27.31.8
28.026.2
Auto2.3
Teleop22.0
End3.0
blue by 45.8
73.24.7
67.872.5
Auto12.7
Teleop50.8
End9.8
Third
25.91.8
29.427.6
Auto9.9
Teleop12.7
End3.3
blue by 1.7
9994
#17
27.67.8
8.816.6
Auto2.4
Teleop20.9
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
48%Auto oddsEarned88%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
20%Coral oddsMissed35%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
21%Barge oddsMissed96%Barge oddsEarned