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Qual 222025 StormSurge
Red87
448827.8
469228.1
634336.6
Blue141
669643.7
281154.0
99929.3
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1091109010012013014087141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+64
Endgame+66
Fouls+54
AutonomousBlue +21
6Leave6
1Coral scored#5
3Coral points24
9Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +43
11Coral scored#16
40Coral points57
3Processor algae#4
1Net algae#6
18Processor points24
4Net points24
22Algae points48
62Total teleop105
Reef
3L4#7
4L3#8
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
16Game pieces#31
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +54
12Foul points0
87Total score141

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6343
#20
36.62.2
40.5→38.3
Auto7.6
Teleop26.2
End2.7
blue by 17.3
2811
#10
54.02.7
51.1→53.8
Auto11.2
Teleop35.7
End7.0
Second
4692
#21
28.12.2
32.3→30.2
Auto7.3
Teleop20.1
End0.7
blue by 15.6
6696
#9
43.72.7
38.5→41.2
Auto9.1
Teleop34.9
End-0.3
Third
4488
#11
27.82.2
29.0→26.9
Auto7.1
Teleop18.2
End2.5
red by 18.5
9992
#18
9.34.5
5.7→10.2
Auto2.8
Teleop5.0
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
81%Auto oddsMissed86%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed26%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsMissed33%Barge oddsMissed