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Red122
404326.1
142550.2
241274.4
Blue70
154034.6
99979.0
644332.2
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1628205010020025030012270

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+25Auto
+64Teleop
+52Endgame
+52Fouls
AutonomousRed +25
3Leave9
6Coral scored#0
31Coral points0
34Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +39
14Coral scored#9
52Coral points33
2Processor algae#0
5Net algae#3
12Processor points0
20Net points12
32Algae points12
84Total teleop45
Reef
8L4#3
7L3#3
2L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
27Game pieces#12
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +52
0Foul points0
122Total score70

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
74.41.6
63.962.3
Auto13.0
Teleop51.6
End9.8
red by 39.8
1540
#14
34.60.8
36.936.1
Auto4.2
Teleop24.7
End5.7
Second
50.21.6
50.548.9
Auto13.8
Teleop28.2
End8.2
red by 18.0
32.20.8
31.030.2
Auto8.5
Teleop14.9
End8.8
Third
4043
#15
26.11.6
25.624.0
Auto8.9
Teleop15.5
End1.8
red by 17.2
9997
#24
9.01.4
9.27.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop6.5
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsMissed79%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
59%Coral oddsEarned3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
92%Barge oddsMissed83%Barge oddsEarned