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Qual 242025 StormSurge
Red56
255736.7
404326.1
99953.5
Blue161
299029.6
999849.5
241274.4
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8111605010015020056161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+33
Teleop+95
Endgame+105
Fouls+105
AutonomousBlue +33
3Leave9
0Coral scored#5
0Coral points27
3Total auto36
TeleoperatedBlue +62
10Coral scored#24
35Coral points85
1Processor algae#3
2Net algae#2
6Processor points18
8Net points8
14Algae points26
49Total teleop111
Reef
2L4#8
4L3#14
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
13Game pieces#34
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +105
0Foul points0
56Total score161

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2557
#19
36.70.4
34.5→34.1
Auto4.2
Teleop29.7
End2.7
blue by 37.7
2412
#2
74.42.4
62.3→64.7
Auto13.0
Teleop51.6
End9.8
Second
4043
#15
26.10.4
24.0→23.5
Auto8.9
Teleop15.5
End1.8
blue by 23.3
9998
#6
49.54.1
34.5→38.5
Auto11.6
Teleop35.6
End2.4
Third
9995
#25
3.50.7
4.1→3.4
Auto-0.8
Teleop2.8
End1.7
blue by 26.1
2990
#22
29.62.4
27.7→30.1
Auto6.4
Teleop19.7
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
72%Auto oddsMissed67%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
13%Coral oddsMissed26%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
39%Barge oddsMissed53%Barge oddsEarned