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Red114
36053.5
241261.3
555328.9
Blue229
1052354.7
546878.2
449979.8
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions156237100200250300350114229

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+31
Teleop+95
Endgame+115
Fouls+115
AutonomousBlue +31
6Leave0
1Coral scored#9
7Coral points44
13Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +64
13Coral scored#21
47Coral points75
3Processor algae#5
5Net algae#11
18Processor points30
20Net points44
38Algae points74
85Total teleop149
Reef
6L4#15
3L3#6
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#5
22Game pieces#46
BargeBlue +20
16Cage & park36
16Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +115
0Foul points0
114Total score229

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2412
#21
61.32.2
59.657.4
Auto14.3
Teleop38.5
End8.5
blue by 18.5
4499
#29
79.81.1
75.276.3
Auto20.6
Teleop48.0
End11.2
Second
360
#74
53.52.2
59.257.0
Auto9.4
Teleop40.8
End3.3
blue by 24.7
5468
#13
78.21.1
75.476.5
Auto19.4
Teleop47.5
End11.2
Third
5553
#54
28.92.2
25.623.4
Auto3.9
Teleop21.0
End4.0
blue by 25.8
54.71.1
58.960.0
Auto8.4
Teleop38.4
End7.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsMissed97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
33%Coral oddsMissed75%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
55%Barge oddsEarned98%Barge oddsEarned