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Red193
393774.7
18870.6
263532.2
Blue162
643143.7
673834.4
744442.1
95%Model gave it5%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18110950150200250300193162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
+23Teleop
+37Endgame
+31Fouls
AutonomousRed +13
0Leave0
8Coral scored#5
40Coral points27
40Total auto27
TeleoperatedRed +10
27Coral scored#25
97Coral points91
4Processor algae#2
4Net algae#6
24Processor points12
16Net points24
40Algae points36
137Total teleop127
Reef
13L4#13
7L3#7
11L2#7
4L1 · trough#3
43Game pieces#38
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +31
0Foul points6
193Total score162

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
74.72.0
64.166.1
Auto15.8
Teleop49.6
End9.3
red by 31.0
6431
#70
43.72.4
40.843.3
Auto7.8
Teleop35.8
End0.1
Second
188
#14
70.62.0
65.767.7
Auto20.8
Teleop42.3
End7.6
red by 28.6
7444
#75
42.12.4
38.240.6
Auto11.1
Teleop30.6
End0.3
Third
2635
#61
32.22.0
22.624.6
Auto4.9
Teleop20.6
End6.6
blue by 2.2
6738
#59
34.42.4
29.431.8
Auto12.7
Teleop21.1
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
53%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
83%Barge oddsEarned7%Barge oddsMissed