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Red230
94846.2
1323113.5
547248.7
Blue212
138865.9
171055.4
150246.7
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions23515350100200250300230212

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
+18Teleop
+18Endgame
+18Fouls
AutonomousRed +13
3Leave3
11Coral scored#8
55Coral points42
58Total auto45
TeleoperatedRed +5
24Coral scored#29
86Coral points103
4Processor algae#3
9Net algae#5
24Processor points18
36Net points20
60Algae points38
146Total teleop141
Reef
12L4#8
12L3#13
6L2#8
5L1 · trough#8
48Game pieces#45
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +18
0Foul points0
230Total score212

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
113.50.6
115.7116.3
Auto27.2
Teleop73.8
End12.5
red by 47.6
1388
#26
65.93.3
55.658.9
Auto12.8
Teleop44.8
End8.3
Second
5472
#39
48.70.6
50.651.2
Auto11.7
Teleop32.6
End4.5
blue by 6.6
1710
#58
55.43.3
51.855.1
Auto13.2
Teleop36.6
End5.5
Third
948
#15
46.20.6
44.044.6
Auto11.3
Teleop30.3
End4.6
blue by 0.5
1502
#32
46.73.3
43.346.6
Auto10.1
Teleop30.8
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
94%Coral oddsEarned46%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
99%Barge oddsEarned63%Barge oddsEarned