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Red118
584351.3
512426.4
107263.6
Blue126
283272.4
173040.4
699641.8
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions155181100200250118126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+20Teleop
0Endgame0
Fouls+8
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave3
7Coral scored#5
33Coral points27
33Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +17
11Coral scored#14
41Coral points50
2Processor algae#1
7Net algae#2
12Processor points6
28Net points8
40Algae points14
81Total teleop64
Reef
7L4#8
5L3#6
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
27Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +20
4Cage & park24
4Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +8
0Foul points8
118Total score126

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1072
#34
63.62.3
64.161.9
Auto15.6
Teleop38.8
End9.2
blue by 8.8
72.43.5
69.966.4
Auto19.7
Teleop45.1
End7.7
Second
5843
#41
51.32.3
50.248.0
Auto12.2
Teleop33.1
End6.0
red by 9.5
6996
#18
41.83.5
42.839.3
Auto9.2
Teleop23.3
End9.3
Third
5124
#50
26.42.3
26.524.2
Auto4.6
Teleop20.6
End1.2
blue by 14.0
1730
#67
40.43.5
46.543.0
Auto9.7
Teleop25.5
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
25%Coral oddsMissed77%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
83%Barge oddsMissed89%Barge oddsEarned