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Red170
297475.0
188037.6
34354.5
Blue138
753130.4
741533.7
859050.7
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21311650100150200250300170138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+32Teleop
+32Endgame
+32Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
3Leave0
8Coral scored#4
40Coral points22
43Total auto22
TeleoperatedRed +11
19Coral scored#20
67Coral points72
4Processor algae#2
5Net algae#4
24Processor points12
20Net points16
44Algae points28
111Total teleop100
Reef
9L4#9
10L3#6
5L2#5
3L1 · trough#4
36Game pieces#30
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +32
0Foul points0
170Total score138

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2974
#49
75.01.3
77.075.7
Auto19.9
Teleop50.2
End5.0
red by 24.3
8590
#28
50.71.3
48.950.2
Auto9.1
Teleop37.7
End3.9
Second
343
#33
54.51.3
59.558.2
Auto11.1
Teleop36.0
End7.4
red by 20.8
7415
#63
33.71.3
28.229.5
Auto5.1
Teleop26.0
End2.6
Third
1880
#42
37.61.3
39.237.8
Auto7.4
Teleop28.3
End1.9
red by 7.2
7531
#62
30.41.3
28.229.5
Auto8.1
Teleop20.5
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned81%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
82%Coral oddsEarned9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
76%Barge oddsEarned39%Barge oddsEarned