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Red160
247157.2
546879.7
382629.3
Blue179
669659.5
131868.8
95558.7
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions163179050100200250300350160179

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+2Auto
Teleop+27
Endgame+7
Fouls+19
AutonomousRed +2
3Leave6
7Coral scored#6
36Coral points31
39Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +29
15Coral scored#24
55Coral points86
2Processor algae#3
7Net algae#5
12Processor points18
28Net points20
40Algae points38
95Total teleop124
Reef
8L4#12
7L3#7
5L2#6
2L1 · trough#5
31Game pieces#38
BargeRed +20
26Cage & park6
26Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +19
0Foul points12
160Total score179

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5468
#19
79.70.8
74.875.6
Auto19.3
Teleop49.3
End11.0
red by 10.9
68.80.1
64.164.0
Auto16.3
Teleop45.1
End7.4
Second
2471
#16
57.20.8
47.548.2
Auto9.7
Teleop40.1
End7.4
blue by 2.3
6696
#31
59.50.1
53.753.6
Auto11.4
Teleop47.1
End1.1
Third
3826
#45
29.30.8
26.327.1
Auto7.1
Teleop17.8
End4.4
blue by 29.5
955
#32
58.70.1
50.750.6
Auto16.8
Teleop40.5
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned99%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
60%Coral oddsMissed36%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
96%Barge oddsEarned67%Barge oddsMissed