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Red173
95767.2
404352.0
142566.7
Blue149
357430.4
1041640.7
252270.8
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18311450100150200250173149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+26Teleop
+24Endgame
+24Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave0
8Coral scored#7
41Coral points37
44Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +19
21Coral scored#14
77Coral points50
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#6
12Processor points12
16Net points24
28Algae points36
105Total teleop86
Reef
12L4#9
5L3#5
7L2#4
5L1 · trough#3
35Game pieces#29
BargeBlue +2
24Cage & park26
24Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +24
0Foul points0
173Total score149

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
957
#17
67.20.5
61.762.3
Auto16.6
Teleop39.6
End10.9
blue by 3.7
70.82.6
59.061.5
Auto21.5
Teleop44.7
End4.6
Second
1425
#11
66.70.5
55.455.9
Auto20.2
Teleop38.0
End8.5
red by 26.0
40.72.6
33.035.6
Auto8.9
Teleop28.2
End3.5
Third
4043
#10
52.00.5
48.248.7
Auto11.5
Teleop33.5
End7.0
red by 21.6
3574
#39
30.42.6
18.621.2
Auto5.5
Teleop17.9
End7.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned89%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
47%Coral oddsEarned59%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
93%Barge oddsEarned46%Barge oddsEarned