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Red215
177891.8
644333.8
945082.5
Blue209
944271.9
451362.2
367467.3
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19917850100150250300350215209

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+6Teleop
+6Endgame
+6Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave0
9Coral scored#10
45Coral points51
54Total auto51
TeleoperatedRed +3
25Coral scored#18
89Coral points66
2Processor algae#4
9Net algae#11
12Processor points24
36Net points44
48Algae points68
137Total teleop134
Reef
14L4#10
11L3#9
5L2#5
4L1 · trough#4
45Game pieces#43
Bargelevel
24Cage & park24
24Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +6
0Foul points0
215Total score209

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
91.82.0
81.583.4
Auto21.2
Teleop66.8
End3.9
red by 19.9
9442
#29
71.92.1
67.369.4
Auto15.6
Teleop53.7
End2.7
Second
9450
#15
82.52.0
69.471.3
Auto19.0
Teleop53.3
End10.2
red by 15.1
67.32.1
58.760.8
Auto16.2
Teleop40.4
End10.7
Third
6443
#49
33.82.0
34.836.8
Auto7.5
Teleop20.2
End6.1
blue by 28.4
4513
#22
62.22.1
50.953.0
Auto7.9
Teleop42.3
End12.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
85%Coral oddsEarned32%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
88%Barge oddsEarned93%Barge oddsEarned