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Red171
703455.3
593758.1
48862.3
Blue207
903650.7
293074.3
241258.8
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1461630100200300400500600171207

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+24
Endgame+36
Fouls+36
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave0
5Coral scored#7
27Coral points33
30Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +21
28Coral scored#28
99Coral points100
2Processor algae#4
4Net algae#6
12Processor points24
16Net points24
28Algae points48
127Total teleop148
Reef
9L4#17
11L3#10
8L2#4
5L1 · trough#4
39Game pieces#45
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +36
0Foul points0
171Total score207

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
488
#36
62.31.5
53.054.5
Auto12.7
Teleop47.2
End2.4
blue by 12.0
2930
#20
74.32.9
62.665.5
Auto21.0
Teleop43.1
End10.2
Second
5937
#25
58.11.5
44.245.7
Auto6.0
Teleop45.2
End6.9
blue by 0.7
2412
#24
58.82.9
46.149.0
Auto13.3
Teleop40.2
End5.3
Third
7034
#18
55.31.5
40.441.9
Auto13.6
Teleop33.7
End8.0
red by 4.6
9036
#14
50.72.9
43.246.2
Auto3.6
Teleop43.9
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
81%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
17%Coral oddsMissed63%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
47%Barge oddsEarned81%Barge oddsEarned