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Red178
94845.9
546879.7
404352.0
Blue215
321857.1
366382.2
944271.9
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16517750100150200250178215

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
Teleop+37
Endgame+37
Fouls+37
AutonomousRed +4
3Leave0
8Coral scored#8
41Coral points40
44Total auto40
TeleoperatedBlue +41
22Coral scored#31
80Coral points113
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#6
12Processor points12
16Net points24
28Algae points36
108Total teleop149
Reef
14L4#14
8L3#12
5L2#9
3L1 · trough#4
36Game pieces#47
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +37
0Foul points0
178Total score215

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5468
#19
79.71.3
70.671.9
Auto19.3
Teleop49.3
End11.0
blue by 2.5
82.23.2
61.164.4
Auto19.6
Teleop51.9
End10.8
Second
4043
#10
52.01.3
44.245.5
Auto11.5
Teleop33.5
End7.0
blue by 19.9
9442
#29
71.93.2
62.065.3
Auto15.6
Teleop53.7
End2.7
Third
948
#44
45.91.3
43.644.9
Auto9.1
Teleop31.1
End5.8
blue by 11.1
3218
#23
57.13.2
43.446.7
Auto13.6
Teleop38.0
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
42%Coral oddsEarned62%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
96%Barge oddsEarned44%Barge oddsEarned