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Red196
803361.0
29468.0
546875.8
Blue207
167153.0
281362.0
84160.1
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions24017450100150200300196207

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+5
+5Teleop
+3Endgame
Fouls+11
AutonomousBlue +5
9Leave9
6Coral scored#7
28Coral points33
37Total auto42
TeleoperatedRed +10
24Coral scored#28
85Coral points101
5Processor algae#2
5Net algae#3
30Processor points12
20Net points12
50Algae points24
135Total teleop125
Reef
14L4#10
8L3#13
4L2#7
4L1 · trough#5
40Game pieces#40
BargeBlue +2
24Cage & park26
24Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +11
0Foul points14
196Total score207

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5468
#25
75.81.6
78.276.6
Auto17.6
Teleop47.9
End10.3
red by 13.8
2813
#26
62.01.5
53.354.7
Auto8.4
Teleop45.2
End8.4
Second
294
#15
68.01.6
67.365.7
Auto14.9
Teleop47.1
End6.1
red by 7.9
841
#13
60.11.5
53.354.8
Auto12.1
Teleop39.8
End8.2
Third
8033
#37
61.01.6
74.673.0
Auto16.2
Teleop36.8
End8.0
red by 8.0
1671
#19
53.01.5
64.265.7
Auto14.4
Teleop34.6
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
99%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
87%Coral oddsMissed55%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
99%Barge oddsEarned96%Barge oddsEarned