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Red248
427079.4
944269.5
25493.8
Blue181
603657.0
207357.3
119778.0
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions259223100150200300350248181

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+57Teleop
+67Endgame
+67Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
0Leave3
9Coral scored#8
47Coral points38
47Total auto41
TeleoperatedRed +51
30Coral scored#28
109Coral points100
5Processor algae#2
12Net algae#6
30Processor points12
48Net points24
78Algae points36
187Total teleop136
Reef
19L4#13
8L3#10
6L2#9
6L1 · trough#4
56Game pieces#44
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +67
0Foul points0
248Total score181

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
254
#1
93.80.3
93.092.7
Auto22.9
Teleop61.9
End9.0
red by 15.8
1197
#30
78.03.1
88.885.7
Auto21.5
Teleop48.1
End8.4
Second
4270
#24
79.40.3
77.276.9
Auto15.9
Teleop54.7
End8.8
red by 22.1
2073
#36
57.33.1
61.458.3
Auto12.4
Teleop37.7
End7.2
Third
69.50.3
73.072.7
Auto9.4
Teleop60.0
End0.2
red by 12.5
6036
#34
57.03.1
69.566.4
Auto13.2
Teleop40.0
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
99%Auto oddsMissed97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
96%Coral oddsEarned88%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
93%Barge oddsEarned76%Barge oddsEarned