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Red178
804837.9
879342.7
58187.0
Blue162
84662.4
366378.9
204661.2
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions167256100150200300350178162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+2Auto
+22Teleop
+16Endgame
+16Fouls
AutonomousRed +2
6Leave3
6Coral scored#6
29Coral points30
35Total auto33
TeleoperatedRed +20
25Coral scored#19
91Coral points69
2Processor algae#3
5Net algae#4
12Processor points18
20Net points16
32Algae points34
123Total teleop103
Reef
12L4#9
10L3#7
5L2#5
4L1 · trough#4
38Game pieces#32
BargeBlue +6
20Cage & park26
20Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +16
0Foul points0
178Total score162

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
581
#14
87.00.7
85.285.9
Auto20.4
Teleop56.8
End9.8
red by 8.1
78.94.8
86.982.1
Auto15.4
Teleop52.6
End10.9
Second
8793
#28
42.70.7
37.638.3
Auto10.6
Teleop25.8
End6.2
blue by 19.7
846
#29
62.44.8
64.759.9
Auto15.0
Teleop41.4
End5.9
Third
8048
#38
37.90.7
44.745.4
Auto6.5
Teleop29.5
End1.8
blue by 23.4
2046
#41
61.24.8
82.677.8
Auto12.6
Teleop43.0
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned99%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
64%Coral oddsMissed92%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
67%Barge oddsEarned98%Barge oddsEarned