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Red143
97359.8
803361.0
167886.8
Blue149
347868.0
29468.0
715743.4
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions264187100150250300350143149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+18
Endgame+6
Fouls+6
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave0
8Coral scored#9
38Coral points44
41Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +15
15Coral scored#18
54Coral points63
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#4
6Processor points12
16Net points16
22Algae points28
76Total teleop91
Reef
9L4#10
5L3#8
6L2#6
3L1 · trough#3
28Game pieces#33
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +6
0Foul points0
143Total score149

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
86.86.9
100.393.4
Auto24.2
Teleop54.1
End8.5
red by 18.7
294
#15
68.02.6
65.763.0
Auto14.9
Teleop47.1
End6.1
Second
8033
#37
61.06.9
73.066.1
Auto16.2
Teleop36.8
End8.0
blue by 7.1
3478
#22
68.02.6
77.474.7
Auto17.6
Teleop44.5
End6.0
Third
973
#39
59.86.9
73.266.3
Auto12.1
Teleop38.8
End9.0
red by 16.4
7157
#27
43.42.6
45.643.0
Auto8.5
Teleop29.6
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
100%Auto oddsMissed99%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
97%Coral oddsMissed41%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
99%Barge oddsEarned97%Barge oddsEarned