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Red211
97250.7
69493.5
207357.3
Blue192
603657.0
908465.9
550759.2
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions23218250100150200250300350211192

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+39Teleop
+29Endgame
+19Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
0Leave6
10Coral scored#8
51Coral points41
51Total auto47
TeleoperatedRed +35
23Coral scored#19
84Coral points69
4Processor algae#2
6Net algae#4
24Processor points12
24Net points16
48Algae points28
132Total teleop97
Reef
11L4#11
11L3#7
5L2#6
6L1 · trough#3
43Game pieces#33
BargeBlue +10
26Cage & park36
26Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +19
2Foul points12
211Total score192

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
694
#3
93.50.1
99.399.1
Auto21.7
Teleop60.6
End11.2
red by 27.6
9084
#18
65.90.2
66.466.1
Auto17.8
Teleop40.5
End7.5
Second
2073
#36
57.30.1
58.358.2
Auto12.4
Teleop37.7
End7.2
blue by 1.9
5507
#21
59.20.2
50.950.7
Auto17.9
Teleop31.2
End10.1
Third
972
#35
50.70.1
53.653.4
Auto11.1
Teleop31.5
End8.1
blue by 6.3
6036
#34
57.00.2
66.466.2
Auto13.2
Teleop40.0
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned100%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
94%Coral oddsEarned81%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
99%Barge oddsEarned79%Barge oddsEarned