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Red201
84662.4
350153.4
449980.6
Blue203
473874.5
944269.5
167153.0
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions207226150250201203

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
Teleop+14
Endgame+2
Fouls+2
AutonomousRed +21
9Leave0
10Coral scored#7
49Coral points37
58Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +35
23Coral scored#24
81Coral points86
2Processor algae#5
6Net algae#9
12Processor points30
24Net points36
36Algae points66
117Total teleop152
Reef
14L4#9
7L3#9
5L2#5
7L1 · trough#8
41Game pieces#45
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +2
0Foul points0
201Total score203

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
80.60.4
83.283.5
Auto15.3
Teleop53.7
End11.5
red by 6.0
4738
#16
74.50.6
73.272.6
Auto19.9
Teleop44.3
End10.3
Second
846
#29
62.40.4
59.960.2
Auto15.0
Teleop41.4
End5.9
blue by 7.1
69.50.6
72.772.1
Auto9.4
Teleop60.0
End0.2
Third
3501
#31
53.40.4
52.552.9
Auto14.5
Teleop35.8
End3.1
red by 0.5
1671
#19
53.00.6
65.765.2
Auto14.4
Teleop34.6
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
20%Coral oddsEarned75%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
87%Barge oddsEarned48%Barge oddsMissed