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Red198
84160.1
204661.2
427079.4
Blue214
623846.5
945077.5
97173.8
60%Model gave it40%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions225218160180200240260198214

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+6
Endgame+16
Fouls+16
AutonomousBlue +14
9Leave6
6Coral scored#9
28Coral points45
37Total auto51
TeleoperatedRed +8
33Coral scored#35
117Coral points125
3Processor algae#1
5Net algae#4
18Processor points6
20Net points16
38Algae points22
155Total teleop147
Reef
18L4#19
11L3#8
5L2#9
5L1 · trough#8
47Game pieces#49
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +16
0Foul points0
198Total score214

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4270
#24
79.41.2
76.975.7
Auto15.9
Teleop54.7
End8.8
red by 1.9
77.50.4
83.383.6
Auto17.6
Teleop48.4
End11.5
Second
2046
#41
61.21.2
77.876.6
Auto12.6
Teleop43.0
End5.6
blue by 12.6
971
#32
73.80.4
74.675.0
Auto15.1
Teleop50.6
End8.1
Third
841
#13
60.11.2
54.853.6
Auto12.1
Teleop39.8
End8.2
red by 13.7
6238
#23
46.50.4
45.245.6
Auto9.3
Teleop29.5
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
93%Coral oddsEarned22%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
97%Barge oddsMissed100%Barge oddsEarned