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Red255
291099.9
304568.4
25493.8
Blue193
804837.9
949677.0
502652.3
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29918450100150200250350400255193

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+50Teleop
+62Endgame
+62Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave9
9Coral scored#8
44Coral points41
50Total auto50
TeleoperatedRed +50
33Coral scored#16
119Coral points59
3Processor algae#6
8Net algae#6
18Processor points36
32Net points24
50Algae points60
169Total teleop119
Reef
16L4#9
11L3#5
10L2#4
5L1 · trough#6
53Game pieces#36
BargeRed +12
36Cage & park24
36Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +62
0Foul points0
255Total score193

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
99.91.2
112.0110.8
Auto27.8
Teleop61.9
End10.2
red by 22.9
9496
#20
77.00.4
75.776.1
Auto18.3
Teleop51.6
End7.1
Second
254
#1
93.81.2
92.791.5
Auto22.9
Teleop61.9
End9.0
red by 41.5
5026
#33
52.30.4
64.064.4
Auto15.7
Teleop31.4
End5.3
Third
3045
#10
68.41.2
65.964.6
Auto13.8
Teleop44.0
End10.6
red by 30.5
8048
#38
37.90.4
45.445.7
Auto6.5
Teleop29.5
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
99%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
99%Coral oddsEarned78%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
99%Barge oddsEarned74%Barge oddsEarned