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Red250
60488.8
366378.9
441493.8
Blue203
546875.8
281362.0
940871.8
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28219850100150250300350250203

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+27Teleop
+47Endgame
+47Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
3Leave3
10Coral scored#6
48Coral points31
51Total auto34
TeleoperatedRed +10
31Coral scored#29
113Coral points105
5Processor algae#4
5Net algae#6
30Processor points24
20Net points24
50Algae points48
163Total teleop153
Reef
20L4#13
11L3#10
6L2#8
4L1 · trough#4
51Game pieces#45
BargeRed +20
36Cage & park16
36Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +47
0Foul points0
250Total score203

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4414
#12
93.81.0
95.994.9
Auto19.5
Teleop64.5
End9.8
red by 18.0
5468
#25
75.80.5
76.677.0
Auto17.6
Teleop47.9
End10.3
Second
604
#7
88.81.0
87.086.0
Auto23.4
Teleop55.6
End9.8
red by 17.0
9408
#17
71.80.5
64.965.3
Auto10.1
Teleop53.7
End8.0
Third
78.91.0
82.181.1
Auto15.4
Teleop52.6
End10.9
red by 16.9
2813
#26
62.00.5
54.755.2
Auto8.4
Teleop45.2
End8.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
99%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
99%Coral oddsEarned38%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
98%Barge oddsEarned99%Barge oddsEarned