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Red214
553563.1
12579.9
756551.0
Blue233
283272.4
263532.2
546878.2
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions210194150250300214233

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+19
Endgame+19
Fouls+19
AutonomousBlue +14
3Leave0
7Coral scored#10
34Coral points51
37Total auto51
TeleoperatedBlue +5
24Coral scored#30
85Coral points108
7Processor algae#4
6Net algae#6
42Processor points24
24Net points24
66Algae points48
151Total teleop156
Reef
15L4#16
6L3#7
5L2#12
5L1 · trough#5
44Game pieces#50
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +19
0Foul points0
214Total score233

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
125
#55
79.90.8
79.880.6
Auto22.8
Teleop47.1
End10.0
red by 1.8
5468
#13
78.23.1
75.478.5
Auto19.4
Teleop47.5
End11.2
Second
5535
#27
63.10.8
59.360.1
Auto5.8
Teleop46.8
End10.5
blue by 9.3
72.43.1
68.171.2
Auto19.7
Teleop45.1
End7.7
Third
7565
#65
51.00.8
46.847.6
Auto6.9
Teleop36.7
End7.4
red by 18.8
2635
#61
32.23.1
25.928.9
Auto4.9
Teleop20.6
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned90%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
39%Coral oddsMissed72%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
99%Barge oddsEarned95%Barge oddsEarned