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Red188
94846.2
36053.5
427274.3
Blue259
742673.1
645960.7
393774.7
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions197205140160180220240260280188259

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
Teleop+61
Endgame+71
Fouls+71
AutonomousBlue +1
9Leave0
8Coral scored#10
41Coral points51
50Total auto51
TeleoperatedBlue +60
29Coral scored#31
104Coral points112
2Processor algae#4
4Net algae#14
12Processor points24
16Net points56
28Algae points80
132Total teleop192
Reef
18L4#17
7L3#13
8L2#7
4L1 · trough#4
43Game pieces#59
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +71
0Foul points0
188Total score259

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4272
#23
74.30.6
77.476.8
Auto18.6
Teleop45.6
End10.1
blue by 0.4
74.73.1
67.670.7
Auto15.8
Teleop49.6
End9.3
Second
360
#74
53.50.6
55.955.2
Auto9.4
Teleop40.8
End3.3
blue by 19.6
73.13.1
67.971.0
Auto14.5
Teleop50.0
End8.6
Third
948
#15
46.20.6
47.546.8
Auto11.3
Teleop30.3
End4.6
blue by 14.4
6459
#22
60.73.1
60.163.2
Auto14.2
Teleop44.4
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned99%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
78%Coral oddsEarned93%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
98%Barge oddsMissed85%Barge oddsEarned