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Red269
34354.5
761765.6
2910117.0
Blue210
150246.7
29467.3
18870.6
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions268190100150250300350269210

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+19Auto
+49Teleop
+59Endgame
+59Fouls
AutonomousRed +19
0Leave6
13Coral scored#8
63Coral points38
63Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +30
26Coral scored#23
94Coral points84
6Processor algae#6
10Net algae#5
36Processor points36
40Net points20
76Algae points56
170Total teleop140
Reef
12L4#9
13L3#11
8L2#6
6L1 · trough#5
55Game pieces#42
BargeRed +10
36Cage & park26
36Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +59
0Foul points0
269Total score210

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
117.01.3
118.5119.8
Auto28.1
Teleop75.8
End13.1
red by 46.4
188
#14
70.61.2
68.569.7
Auto20.8
Teleop42.3
End7.6
Second
7617
#31
65.61.3
64.065.3
Auto18.7
Teleop38.5
End8.3
blue by 1.7
294
#37
67.31.2
62.763.9
Auto14.0
Teleop48.6
End4.7
Third
343
#33
54.51.3
55.556.8
Auto11.1
Teleop36.0
End7.4
red by 7.7
1502
#32
46.71.2
49.250.4
Auto10.1
Teleop30.8
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
99%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
98%Coral oddsEarned69%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
98%Barge oddsEarned80%Barge oddsEarned