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Red114
246861.0
173040.4
741533.7
Blue112
547248.7
753825.0
490534.1
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions152129050100200250114112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
0Teleop0
+10Endgame
+2Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
9Leave0
5Coral scored#5
24Coral points23
33Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +10
11Coral scored#12
41Coral points43
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#5
12Processor points12
12Net points20
24Algae points32
65Total teleop75
Reef
6L4#7
4L3#4
3L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#24
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +2
0Foul points8
114Total score112

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2468
#38
61.01.1
57.556.4
Auto8.0
Teleop44.7
End8.3
red by 12.3
5472
#39
48.70.7
52.651.8
Auto11.7
Teleop32.6
End4.5
Second
1730
#67
40.41.1
42.241.1
Auto9.7
Teleop25.5
End5.1
red by 6.2
4905
#66
34.10.7
37.036.3
Auto8.4
Teleop21.2
End4.5
Third
7415
#63
33.71.1
30.729.6
Auto5.1
Teleop26.0
End2.6
red by 8.6
7538
#56
25.00.7
25.424.7
Auto4.3
Teleop15.1
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
88%Auto oddsEarned87%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
34%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
84%Barge oddsEarned83%Barge oddsMissed