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Red143
237433.6
546870.6
255029.4
Blue84
367327.8
135916.1
75329.2
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12958010015020014384

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+67Teleop
+59Endgame
+59Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
9Leave6
3Coral scored#0
14Coral points0
23Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +50
23Coral scored#11
84Coral points40
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
12Processor points6
8Net points8
20Algae points14
104Total teleop54
Reef
7L4#4
6L3#2
7L2#3
6L1 · trough#2
30Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +8
16Cage & park24
16Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +59
0Foul points0
143Total score84

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70.61.7
59.260.9
Auto18.0
Teleop43.6
End9.0
red by 41.4
753
#12
29.21.2
22.824.0
Auto1.3
Teleop20.2
End7.7
Second
2374
#11
33.61.7
22.524.3
Auto1.6
Teleop29.2
End2.9
red by 5.8
3673
#25
27.81.2
23.024.2
Auto4.8
Teleop21.8
End1.2
Third
2550
#19
29.41.7
24.226.0
Auto4.1
Teleop18.6
End6.7
red by 13.3
1359
#31
16.11.2
9.010.2
Auto4.0
Teleop7.5
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
28%Auto oddsEarned27%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
11%Coral oddsEarned3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
91%Barge oddsEarned33%Barge oddsEarned