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Red137
363656.3
95760.1
252143.9
Blue82
1044417.5
669652.2
597022.2
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15350010020025013782

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+63Teleop
+55Endgame
+55Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
3Leave3
8Coral scored#3
41Coral points13
44Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +35
20Coral scored#9
71Coral points32
2Processor algae#2
1Net algae#2
12Processor points12
4Net points8
16Algae points20
87Total teleop52
Reef
13L4#5
5L3#2
5L2#3
5L1 · trough#2
31Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +55
0Foul points0
137Total score82

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
957
#1
60.10.1
48.548.5
Auto17.6
Teleop34.7
End7.8
red by 7.8
6696
#14
52.21.2
37.438.6
Auto9.5
Teleop41.0
End1.7
Second
56.30.1
55.755.6
Auto10.7
Teleop43.6
End2.0
red by 34.1
5970
#26
22.21.2
15.216.4
Auto6.1
Teleop8.9
End7.1
Third
2521
#10
43.90.1
31.131.0
Auto14.0
Teleop27.0
End2.9
red by 26.3
17.51.2
8.810.0
Auto5.7
Teleop9.6
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned65%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
16%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
53%Barge oddsMissed47%Barge oddsEarned