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Red103
142550.7
367455.7
154051.6
Blue51
99730.4
184418.3
683131.6
93%Model gave it7%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1296805010015020010351

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+9Auto
+38Teleop
+52Endgame
+52Fouls
AutonomousRed +9
3Leave3
3Coral scored#1
16Coral points7
19Total auto10
TeleoperatedRed +29
15Coral scored#9
54Coral points31
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
6Processor points0
8Net points8
14Algae points8
68Total teleop39
Reef
9L4#5
5L3#2
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
21Game pieces#12
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +52
0Foul points0
103Total score51

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.70.7
43.743.0
Auto12.2
Teleop37.3
End6.2
red by 24.1
6831
#27
31.61.1
26.225.1
Auto4.1
Teleop25.4
End2.2
Second
51.60.7
35.434.6
Auto11.8
Teleop33.3
End6.5
red by 21.2
997
#28
30.41.1
30.229.1
Auto5.9
Teleop24.6
End-0.2
Third
50.70.7
34.633.9
Auto16.0
Teleop27.7
End7.0
red by 32.4
1844
#23
18.31.3
11.710.5
Auto5.1
Teleop9.7
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsMissed43%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
8%Coral oddsEarned3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
76%Barge oddsEarned40%Barge oddsMissed