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Red139
546865.8
237429.1
247150.6
Blue119
644324.6
154046.7
95544.5
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions161123050100150200139119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+24Teleop
+22Endgame
+20Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave3
6Coral scored#5
28Coral points27
37Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +17
15Coral scored#16
54Coral points57
3Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
18Processor points6
16Net points8
34Algae points14
88Total teleop71
Reef
9L4#7
5L3#6
5L2#5
2L1 · trough#3
28Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +20
0Foul points2
139Total score119

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.80.2
66.266.0
Auto18.0
Teleop38.0
End9.8
red by 19.1
1540
#11
46.70.0
46.746.8
Auto6.9
Teleop34.1
End5.8
Second
50.60.2
51.050.8
Auto16.0
Teleop29.0
End5.6
red by 6.2
955
#13
44.50.0
44.444.5
Auto15.2
Teleop29.1
End0.2
Third
29.10.2
29.529.3
Auto4.2
Teleop23.3
End1.6
red by 4.5
24.60.0
24.624.6
Auto8.7
Teleop7.6
End8.3