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Red92
486218.9
212245.6
69029.6
Blue139
243845.7
546849.4
929215.1
1%Model gave it99%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions75129406010012014016018020092139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+19
Endgame+17
Fouls+47
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave6
2Coral scored#2
10Coral points10
19Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +22
9Coral scored#13
33Coral points47
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#5
12Processor points12
12Net points20
24Algae points32
57Total teleop79
Reef
3L4#7
4L3#3
3L2#2
1L1 · trough#3
16Game pieces#22
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +47
0Foul points30
92Total score139

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.62.1
43.145.3
Auto14.7
Teleop26.2
End4.6
blue by 3.8
49.40.3
45.846.1
Auto10.0
Teleop31.4
End7.9
Second
4862
#42
18.92.1
17.819.9
Auto4.6
Teleop13.8
End0.4
blue by 26.8
2438
#21
45.70.3
45.045.3
Auto9.4
Teleop33.3
End3.0
Third
6902
#47
9.62.3
7.49.6
Auto2.3
Teleop4.8
End2.6
blue by 5.4
9292
#20
15.10.3
14.815.1
Auto4.6
Teleop8.4
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
64%Auto oddsEarned91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
39%Barge oddsEarned60%Barge oddsEarned