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Red104
427058.4
955012.8
904420.5
Blue44
927726.2
1004410.0
1052714.5
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1025620408012014016010444

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+60Teleop
+54Endgame
+60Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
9Leave6
3Coral scored#1
14Coral points6
23Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +49
11Coral scored#4
39Coral points14
1Processor algae#1
6Net algae#0
6Processor points6
24Net points0
30Algae points6
69Total teleop20
Reef
4L4#1
3L3#2
4L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
21Game pieces#6
BargeBlue +6
6Cage & park12
6Total endgame12
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +60
6Foul points0
104Total score44

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.41.6
51.152.7
Auto10.7
Teleop39.9
End7.9
red by 32.2
9277
#16
26.20.7
25.825.2
Auto4.9
Teleop17.6
End3.6
Second
9044
#15
20.51.4
19.220.7
Auto5.7
Teleop14.0
End0.9
red by 6.0
14.50.7
15.214.5
Auto4.2
Teleop7.5
End2.8
Third
9550
#34
12.81.4
11.412.8
Auto3.3
Teleop7.5
End2.0
red by 2.9
10.00.7
10.710.0
Auto3.0
Teleop5.0
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
65%Auto oddsEarned85%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
68%Barge oddsMissed41%Barge oddsMissed