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Red85
944914.1
71678.9
755130.5
Blue50
918020.7
73328.6
713511.2
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6751204060801008550

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+23Teleop
+23Endgame
+35Fouls
Autonomouslevel
0Leave3
2Coral scored#2
12Coral points9
12Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +23
10Coral scored#7
37Coral points24
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
12Processor points6
8Net points4
20Algae points10
57Total teleop34
Reef
5L4#3
2L3#3
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
16Game pieces#11
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +35
12Foul points0
85Total score50

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7551
#11
30.50.5
31.031.5
Auto5.5
Teleop17.9
End7.2
red by 9.8
9180
#37
20.70.3
21.020.7
Auto4.9
Teleop16.0
End-0.2
Second
9449
#27
14.10.5
10.210.7
Auto4.1
Teleop8.6
End1.4
red by 2.9
7135
#22
11.20.3
11.511.2
Auto4.8
Teleop3.2
End3.1
Third
7167
#39
8.90.5
8.48.9
Auto1.8
Teleop6.0
End1.0
red by 0.2
7332
#46
8.60.3
8.98.6
Auto3.4
Teleop4.2
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
47%Auto oddsEarned54%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
53%Barge oddsMissed11%Barge oddsMissed