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Red84
432722.8
639017.8
425337.5
Blue88
1042710.4
850334.8
399041.0
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions91976070801101201308488

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+13
Teleop+18
Endgame+18
Fouls+4
AutonomousBlue +13
9Leave3
0Coral scored#4
0Coral points19
9Total auto22
TeleoperatedBlue +5
11Coral scored#13
39Coral points48
2Processor algae#0
1Net algae#3
12Processor points0
4Net points12
16Algae points12
55Total teleop60
Reef
5L4#7
2L3#4
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
14Game pieces#20
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +4
14Foul points0
84Total score88

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4253
#13
37.51.1
37.636.6
Auto9.1
Teleop23.7
End4.7
blue by 3.5
41.00.1
40.340.3
Auto9.2
Teleop26.2
End5.6
Second
4327
#48
22.81.1
23.021.9
Auto3.0
Teleop18.0
End1.8
blue by 12.0
34.80.1
34.134.2
Auto6.5
Teleop21.0
End7.3
Third
6390
#33
17.81.1
18.617.5
Auto4.2
Teleop12.3
End1.4
red by 7.4
10.40.1
10.410.4
Auto3.3
Teleop5.2
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
59%Auto oddsMissed76%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
72%Barge oddsMissed85%Barge oddsMissed