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Red104
427058.4
35954.2
833916.1
Blue102
927726.2
84630.1
442132.7
93%Model gave it7%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13396406080120160180104102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
Teleop+2
0Endgame0
+2Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
0Leave3
5Coral scored#3
26Coral points17
26Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +8
16Coral scored#17
58Coral points60
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
6Processor points12
8Net points8
14Algae points20
72Total teleop80
Reef
11L4#9
5L3#3
2L2#5
3L1 · trough#3
24Game pieces#24
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Penalties & totalRed +2
2Foul points0
104Total score102

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.40.4
52.752.3
Auto10.7
Teleop39.9
End7.9
red by 25.8
4421
#12
32.70.4
31.531.9
Auto5.6
Teleop24.2
End3.0
Second
359
#1
54.20.4
48.948.5
Auto12.8
Teleop33.4
End7.9
red by 24.1
846
#36
30.10.4
29.029.4
Auto3.3
Teleop25.8
End1.0
Third
8339
#38
16.10.4
10.810.4
Auto5.4
Teleop8.2
End2.5
blue by 10.1
9277
#16
26.20.4
25.225.5
Auto4.9
Teleop17.6
End3.6